Last week the NFL Evo analysts were a pathetic 8-6-1, overall we are a modest 28-14-1. And with the lock/upset games now 3-3. We will try to do better this week.
New York Jets at New England Patriots (Thursday, 8:25 p.m., CBS).
Teams on average lose a player for season ending injuries once every 3 games. The Pats potentially lost 2 in Mayo and Ridley argueably 2 of their best players for the season. The Jets have their own problems losing Milliner for the season and already depleted in the secondary. Hey, its football and injuries are part of the game. As for this game, teams that play at home on short weeks typically win these Thursday games. Would it shock people if the Jets won? yes. Would it shock me? No. Rex Ryan always plays Brady tough, however I would be a fool to pick the Jets because frankly they stink. NE 30-13
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS).
This is one of the top matchups of the day. The Colts are the hotter team winning 4 straight games while the Bengals started hot and after their bye have cooled down bigtime. This one is a classic coin flip. Its too early to know if Green plays and the trend would be logical to go with Indy but I get the feeling the Bengals pull through in a close game. CIN 28-24
Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (Sunday, 4:05 p.m., CBS).
This is an interesting setup with the Chiefs coming off a bye and the Chargers coming off a win against Oakland that wasn't as easy as it should have been. The Chiefs are capable of playing lights out football and are also capable of playing poorly so who knows which team will show up. When Alex Smith doesn't make mistakes they win, when he does they lose. I am going to pick the Chiefs as my UPSET OF THE WEEK. KC 21-20
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox).
This is a brutal schedule for the Panthers playing at Cincy and now at GB in back to back weeks. I think that is very hard to do and with the way Rodgers is playing the Packers are never going to be out of a game. I like the Pack 27-20
Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens (Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox).
The Falcons are sliding bigtime since their rout of TB and the Ravens just got done routing the same team on the road. Simply put it is foolish to pick agains the Ravens at home, they are too tough. The wildcard is if Matt Ryan has one of his crazy passing games, but I don't think it happens in a very loud road game. LOCK OF THE WEEK BAL 31-21
Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears (Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS).
The Bears are winless at home this year. The big matchup in this game is the tall WR's of the Bears vs. the small and scrappy CB's of Miami. I can see the Bears dominating that matchup or I can see a lot of INT's for Cutler. Are the Bears really going to go 0-3 at home ? I can definately see this happening. Miami should of beaten the Packers last week and let it slip away, they have been haunted by slow starts so their offense needs to score some points early and force Cutler to make mistakes. I think the Dolphins D gets some turnovers and wins 27-20
New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions (Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox).
The Saints are coming off a bye and Detroit is coming off a win. Graham and Megatron are both doubtful but Reggie Bush should play. I think the Saints poor road woes and Lions crowd will boost them in this one. Watch the Saints defense to see if they show any life because they have been awful so far this year. DET 33-26
Tennessee Titans at Washington skins (Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS).
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (Sunday, 4:25 p.m., Fox).
This is the big game of the day for FOX although with Cruz and Jennings both out I am not sure how the Giants can win it. Dallas should win this game easily, however they are also due for a loss so it wouldn't surprise me to see an upset here although I am not going to go there. DAL 27-24
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS).
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox).
Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills (Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox
San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos (Sunday, 8:30 p.m., NBC).
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers (Monday, 8:30 p.m., ESPN).